Friday, July 30, 2010

Inflation Hedges

The following post is a direct quote from Investopedia's article on "How to prepare for rising interest rates." We wanted to feature a post on the same topic; but found the way they fleshed-out this particular paragraph  was infinitely better than we could:

"Tangible assets like gold and other precious metals tend to do well when rates are low and inflation is high. Unfortunately, investments that hedge against inflation tend to perform poorly when interest rates begin to rise simply because rising rates curb inflation. The prices of other natural resources such as oil may also take a hit in a high-interest environment. This is bad news for those who invest directly in them. Investors should consider re-allocating at least a portion of their holdings in these instruments and investing in stocks of companies that consume them instead."
Many investors are uninformed on how trends tend to differ with something like rising interest rates, or foreign exchange values when compared to the dollar. They believe the only circumstance that affects their investment portfolio are the consumers who buy a firm's product/service.  In reality, everything affects the potential outcome of quarterly earnings.

A problem as small as the Swiss making exports more expensive could influence a company like Kraft (chocolate rates rising =Cadbury having to raise their prices= Less consumers buying Cadbury sweets= Kraft's net income suffers= shareholder value suffers). Keep an eye out on all economic news, domestic and foreign.  We live in an age where companies are providing their services on a global scale. A seemingly small glitch could severely affect their bottom line.

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